Except you're ignoring what the rate is about - sexual assault. There's people who are repeatedly assaulted as sexual assault in relationships is kinda a thing, be it a presumably equal adult relationship or a parent/child relationship. Or, hell, a neighbor/neighbor relationship. Then there's the notion that there is no saturation rate - sexual abusers don't wake up one day and say "Gee, I sure have done enough.. I suppose I should stop."Antimony-120 wrote:SurgicalSteel wrote:Keand64 wrote: I found that, assuming one person per second in America is [something to convince you to get a product in a commercial], it would take about a decade before 1% of the population is affected.
1 person per second = 60 people per minute = 3600 people per hour = 86,400 people per day = 31,536,000 people per year = 315,360,000 per decade
Approximate population of U.S. as of 2010: 310,387,000
Approximate population of Earth as of 2010: 6,872,200,000
315,360,000 is about 4.5% of the population of Earth.
So ... I think your math is off.
Of course part of the issue is that you'll get a turnover rate, as new people are being born and others are dying. So the actual "pool" of people across a decade is larger than the "pool" at any given point in time. Nonetheless, 1/sec is a very high rate. (You also neglected leap years, but that's a minor point).
More than anything though this particular fallacy isn't just about a math fail, it's a series of small failures that add up. First off, the rate is probably NOT as high as they suggest. Even if the rate WAS as high as they suggest, it's likely that many of the "units sold" or whatever are people who are getting a new unit to replace a broken or lost one, are testing the product out and may not continue to use it, and various errata in terms of being placed in inventory or used for one time things. Finally, the rate, even if it was as high as they suggested, is likely not sustainable. Any growing market will naturally have very fast growth in the early stages, and slow down later as the target market becomes saturated, the market moves on, and the like. This sort of "choose the absolute best time and use that number" trickery is common.
RAINN's reporting the figure to be 1 every 2 minutes. They provide their own math.
Sexual Abuse - It's not a toaster.